The research project aims to explore the critical management of phosphorus, a vital resource, due to its significant role in food, energy, and water security within the context of increasing global demands and environmental concerns. The project will focus on two main objectives: examining the dependency and resilience of phosphorus imports in high phosphorus importing countries and developing strategies for a more circular and sustainable phosphorus economy in Hiroshima City. Through a combination of network analysis of phosphorus trade and urban policy examination, the research intends to assess trade dependencies, explore future scenarios under climate change, and identify urban strategies to enhance phosphorus recycling and reduce environmental impact. The expected outcomes include academic publications, policy reports, and a series of workshops and presentations that contribute to sustainable resource management practices. This project not only addresses several Sustainable Development Goals but also aims to provide a foundation for policy improvements and increased cooperation among international stakeholders in managing phosphorus sustainably.

The research cluster on Drivers of peace, conflict, and environmental sustainability associated with natural The project begins with a network analysis to evaluate trade dependencies and resilience in phosphorus supply. Concurrently, urban policy reviews and stakeholder interviews in a major city will explore current recycling practices and barriers to sustainability. Additionally, we will develop a model based on trade data and climate scenarios to assess both current and projected phosphorus supply chains. Subsequently, we will synthesize the data to identify trends and develop strategies to mitigate phosphorus supply risks. Based on these findings, urban policy initiatives will be expanded to enhance circular phosphorus economies. This phase will generate published research and preliminary policy recommendations. Long-term, the project aims to significantly reduce phosphorus wastage through recycling and sustainable practices, contributing to global sustainability goals and influencing both national and international policies by aligning phosphorus management with broader environmental, economic, and social objectives.

Relevance to the peace-sustainability nexus

The relevance of the phosphorus management research project to the peace-sustainability nexus is profound and multifaceted. Phosphorus, as a critical resource, is central to agricultural productivity and food security, both of which are key elements in maintaining stable societies. Disruptions in phosphorus supply can lead to food shortages, increased prices, and economic instability, potentially escalating conflicts, especially in regions that depend heavily on imported phosphorus.

The project seeks to enhance the resilience of phosphorus supply chains through sustainable and equitable trade practices. By promoting circular economies and sustainable management strategies, it aims to reduce competition over this scarce resource, which in turn can mitigate conflict risks associated with resource scarcity. Furthermore, the focus on developing global frameworks for phosphorus trade addresses potential geopolitical tensions arising from the concentration of phosphorus reserves in few countries.

By fostering cooperation and sharing sustainable practices among nations, the project contributes to peacebuilding. It facilitates dialogue and collaboration that transcend national boundaries, encouraging a cooperative approach to global resource management. This not only aids in reducing immediate resource-related conflicts but also in building enduring peace through environmental and resource security. Thus, the project significantly contributes to the intertwining goals of promoting sustainability and sustaining peace, thereby addressing crucial aspects of the peace-sustainability nexus.

Research outputs

We are currently in the process of publishing the findings from the network analysis component, which focuses on the trade dynamics of phosphorus and its implications for food security. This analysis provides crucial insights into the resilience and dependencies of global phosphorus supply chains, offering a detailed examination of how trade patterns can affect sustainability and resource stability across different regions. These findings are expected to contribute significantly to the academic discourse and practical strategies around sustainable resource management and trade practices.